Latino Voters Are Not Realigning, They Are Recalibrating Eduardo A. Gamarra, Latino Public Opinion Forum For several recent election cycles, a prevailing narrative in U.S. politics has held that Latino voters are steadily shifting toward the Republican Party. While that interpretation draws on observable movement in specific states and subgroups, it risks overstating the extent of partisan change. The most recent version of the Latino Public Opinion Forum´s Survey of Latinos in the United States instead points to a more contingent and less linear process: Latino voters are not undergoing a wholesale realignment, but rather recalibrating, and, at present, showing signs of reconsolidating behind the Democratic Party. This distinction is more than semantic. It reflects the difference between structural partisan change and short-term adaptation to political and economic conditions. The LPOF survey captures a Latino electorate marked by economic strain and widespread dissatisfaction. ...
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